ADP has begun publishing a weekly estimate of U.S. private‑sector employment, called the NER pulse, providing a four‑week moving average of job changes.
The first estimate covers the period ending October 11, 2025 and projects an average increase of 14,250 jobs, based on anonymized payroll records of more than 26 million private‑sector employees, roughly one in six U.S. workers.
The weekly estimates are released every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, with a two‑week lag to allow for more complete data. The next estimate will be released on November 11, 2025.
ADP Research, in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, continues to publish the full monthly report on the first Wednesday of each month, with the October 2025 report scheduled for November 5, 2025. The monthly report also includes ADP Pay Insights, capturing nearly 15 million individual pay change observations.
The launch comes amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed official labor statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Dr. Nela Richardson, ADP’s chief economist, said the high‑frequency pulse provides a timely view of job creation and loss that is critical for market watchers and policymakers.
The NER pulse is expected to create new subscription revenue streams and reinforce ADP’s position as a leading source of labor‑market intelligence for businesses and policymakers.
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